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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Barnsley |
28.97% ( 0.04) | 25.32% ( 0.02) | 45.71% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.66% ( -0.05) | 49.34% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.61% ( -0.04) | 71.39% ( 0.05) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.89% ( 0.01) | 31.11% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.57% ( 0) | 67.43% ( 0) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% ( -0.04) | 21.59% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.32% ( -0.07) | 54.68% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.97% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 45.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
15 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Burton Albion | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |