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League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Barnsley

Peterborough
1 - 3
Barnsley

Mothersille (74' pen.)
Ferguson (30')
Mills (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pines (47'), Keillor-Dunn (55'), Russell (86')
Pines (29'), O'Keeffe (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Mansfield
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Barnsley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-2 Barnsley
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 1-2 Barnsley

 Both sides have proven themselves to be strong offensively and weak in defence, so it is unlikely that either side will keep a clean sheet this weekend. However, Peterborough's defensive record is particularly shocking, and given that Barnsley have picked up most of their points on the road this season, the visitors will be confident of securing all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBarnsley
49.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 21.28% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 29.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 68.76% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.87% (0.066000000000003 0.07)30.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.65% (0.078000000000003 0.08)51.35% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.025999999999996 0.03)12.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.8% (0.050999999999995 0.05)39.19% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (0.039000000000001 0.04)21.11% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05% (0.058 0.06)53.95% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 49.33%
    Barnsley 29.39%
    Draw 21.28%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 2.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.01%
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.33%
1-1 @ 8.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 2.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.28%
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 4.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7%
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 29.39%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Barnsley

Peterborough United
22.9%
Draw
34.3%
Barnsley
42.9%
35
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Peterborough
2-2
Barnsley
Clarke-Harris (45+2', 48')
Kane (10'), Cole (31')
Connell (87')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Barnsley
1-3
Peterborough
Cotter (51')
Kyprianou (74'), Clarke-Harris (76'), Poku (85')
Kyprianou (44')
May 7, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 46
Barnsley
0-2
Peterborough
Clarke-Harris (6'), Taylor (76')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Peterborough
1-2
Barnsley
Taylor (21')
Connell (11'), Phillips (61')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Barnsley
0-2
Peterborough

Palmer (59')
Marriott (25'), Kent (75')
Poku (52'), Marriott (60')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
> League One Full Table


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