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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Peterborough United

Exeter
1 - 2
Peterborough

Cole (4')
Caldwell (24'), Yfeko (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mothersille (7'), Fernandez (45')
Wallin (23'), Curtis (90'), Collins (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Peterborough United

After showing what they are capable of in thumping Shrewsbury last weekend, Peterborough put a poor first week behind them and now look capable of kicking on in their search for promotion. Rotherham found out that St James Park is not an easy place to visit though on the opening day, but two defeats since then may have dented confidence in the Exeter ranks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Peterborough United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
27.18% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 24.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 47.87% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.93% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.0040000000000049 0)48.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.0040000000000013 0)70.96% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)68.7% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)20.44% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (0.011000000000003 0.01)52.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 27.18%
    Peterborough United 47.87%
    Draw 24.94%
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01%
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.18%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 9.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.87%

How you voted: Exeter vs Peterborough

Exeter City
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
Peterborough United
62.5%
16
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Peterborough
2-1
Exeter
Mason-Clark (4'), Poku (68')
Carroll (36')
Harper (39'), Purrington (62'), Harris (84'), Rankine (85'), Niskanen (90+10')
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
2-1
Peterborough
Cole (75'), Katongo (80' og.)
Niskanen (9')
Burrows (32' pen.)
Olakigbe (36'), Knight (90+5')
Olakigbe (55')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Peterborough
3-1
Exeter
Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Harper (46')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham21154237162149
2Wrexham23146335161948
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe22145347242347
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Stockport CountyStockport23107635241137
6Reading2211473632437
7Barnsley2310673432236
8Bolton WanderersBolton2110473231134
9Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
10Leyton Orient229492820831
11Mansfield TownMansfield219482724331
12Lincoln CityLincoln238782829-131
13Exeter CityExeter229492627-131
14Stevenage218581820-229
15Blackpool227783033-328
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham216692023-324
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2273123943-424
19Northampton TownNorthampton2357112339-1622
20Bristol Rovers2264121935-1622
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2245132139-1817
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2244142342-1916
24Burton Albion2227131835-1713


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