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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Burton Albion

Bolton
1 - 0
Burton Albion

Moon (51' og.)
Morley (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Baah (57'), Gilligan (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-2 Bolton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Shrewsbury
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Burton Albion

 Although Burton will enter Monday's contest off the back of consecutive home victories, they have tended to struggle on the road, having lost four of their last five matches. We think that the Brewers could experience more away-day disappointment against a Bolton side that has won seven of their previous eight competitive home games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 13.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
68.87% (-0.40299999999999 -0.4) 17.78% (0.188 0.19) 13.35% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 54.9% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.68% (-0.37100000000001 -0.37)36.32% (0.373 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.55% (-0.409 -0.41)58.45% (0.411 0.41)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (-0.19 -0.19)9.56% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.99% (-0.455 -0.45)32.01% (0.457 0.46)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.71% (0.076000000000001 0.08)39.29% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24% (0.071999999999999 0.07)76% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 68.87%
    Burton Albion 13.35%
    Draw 17.78%
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 8.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.75% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.44% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 68.87%
1-1 @ 8.24% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.76% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.78%
1-2 @ 3.85% (0.054 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.64% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 13.35%

How you voted: Bolton vs Burton Albion

Bolton Wanderers
88.2%
Draw
0.0%
Burton Albion
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
1-1
Bolton
Helm (46')
Harper (15'), Oshilaja (56'), Crocombe (57'), Caprice (74'), Moon (84'), Carayol (87')
Charles (58')
Maghoma (20'), Thomason (44')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Burton Albion
1-1
Bolton
Walker (59')
Adeboyejo (5')
> Preview
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bolton
2-1
Burton Albion
Bakayoko (87'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+8')
Hughes (73')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Burton Albion
3-1
Bolton
Powell (11'), Brayford (14', 18')
Mancienne (55')
Charles (90+4')
Williams (68')
> Preview
Sep 6, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
Bolton
0-0
Burton Albion
Williams (36'), Evatt (90+5'), Johnston (90+5')
Hamer (9'), Akins (19'), Brayford (69'), Shaughnessy (80')
Brayford (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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