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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
25.26% ( 0.07) | 24.42% ( -0) | 50.33% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 53.91% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.92% ( 0.07) | 48.08% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.75% ( 0.06) | 70.25% ( -0.06) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.66% ( 0.1) | 33.34% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.04% ( 0.1) | 69.96% ( -0.1) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% ( 0) | 19.13% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.24% ( 0) | 50.77% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.26% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 50.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |