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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Bolton logo

Lincoln
0 - 1
Bolton


Makama (35'), Bishop (53'), Eyoma (88')
Mandroiu (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toal (89')
Dempsey (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 3-1 Lincoln
Thursday, December 21 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

This is a tough one to call, with both sides struggling to show enough consistency in recent matches. However, we have to consider Bolton's dominance in recent meetings between the two and their superior position in the table. We are predicting a tight match, but the Trotters should edge it out in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBolton Wanderers
26.63% (-0.15 -0.15) 26.57% (-0.026 -0.03) 46.81% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 48.6% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.38% (0.013000000000005 0.01)55.62% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.22% (0.010999999999999 0.01)76.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.74% (-0.118 -0.12)36.27% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95% (-0.119 -0.12)73.05% (0.12100000000001 0.12)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (0.090000000000003 0.09)23.75% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (0.127 0.13)57.9% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 26.63%
    Bolton Wanderers 46.81%
    Draw 26.57%
Lincoln CityDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.63%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 12.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.03% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.9% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.26% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 46.81%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Bolton

Lincoln City
0.0%
Draw
25.0%
Bolton Wanderers
75.0%
8
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Bolton
3-0
Lincoln
Iredale (4'), Adeboyejo (59'), O'Connor (74' og.)
Sheehan (17'), Maghoma (87'), N'Lundulu (90+7')

House (27'), Eyoma (45+6'), Mandroiu (49')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Lincoln
1-1
Bolton
House (10')
Toal (58')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Bolton
2-0
Lincoln
Charles (40' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (84')
Feb 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 35
Bolton
3-1
Lincoln
Johnston (53'), Sadlier (76'), Bakayoko (83')
Bakayoko (68'), Charles (88'), Williams (90')
Bramall (66')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lincoln
0-1
Bolton

Jackson (71')
Sarcevic (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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