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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
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MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Bristol Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Port Vale

Bristol Rovers
1 - 2
Port Vale

Collins (56')
Whelan (86'), Pitman (90+5')
Finley (15'), Harries (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Garrity (31', 33')
Jones (58'), Politic (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Bristol Rovers and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Port Vale

Despite the differing positions in the table heading into Tuesday's meeting, there is very little between these two sides, and as a result we are predicting a draw in this one. Rovers' FA Cup victory at the weekend will provide them with a much-needed boost, and with home advantage on their side on Tuesday as well, we can see them taking a point off their high-flying opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
31.92%26.34%41.74%
Both teams to score 52.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63%52.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95%74.05%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42%30.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19%66.8%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2%24.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62%59.38%
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 31.92%
    Port Vale 41.74%
    Draw 26.33%
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 8.99%
2-1 @ 7.42%
2-0 @ 5.32%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.92%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.58%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10.57%
1-2 @ 8.74%
0-2 @ 7.37%
1-3 @ 4.06%
0-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 41.74%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale

Bristol Rovers
31.0%
Draw
34.5%
Port Vale
34.5%
29
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2019 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Port Vale
Clarke (16'), Nichols (62' pen.), Rodman (68')
Clarke (22'), Rodman (45')

Hannant (45'), Conlon (54')
Conlon (58')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Harris (54' og.)
Knops (80'), Pugh (91')
Bodin (78')
Sweeney (41'), Harris (42'), Harrison (45')
Sep 24, 2016 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Port Vale
Harrison (44'), Easter (63' pen.)
Sinclair (87')
Paterson (23')
Thomas (41'), Streete (60'), Paterson (61'), Jones (65'), Brown (95')
Mar 12, 2013 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
2-0
Port Vale
Brunt (7', 38')
Brunt (90'), Hitchcock (90')

Morsy (44'), Duffy (57')
Nov 20, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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