Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.