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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.68%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Stevenage |
18.23% ( 0.13) | 24.53% ( 0.01) | 57.23% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 44.45% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.07% ( 0.13) | 55.93% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.97% ( 0.11) | 77.03% ( -0.11) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.18% ( 0.24) | 44.82% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.21% ( 0.19) | 80.78% ( -0.2) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.55% ( -0.01) | 19.45% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.71% ( -0) | 51.29% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.6% Total : 18.23% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 14.27% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 11.68% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 57.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |