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League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Ipswich
1 - 1
Plymouth

Burns (63')
Burns (11'), Hirst (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mumba (90+3')
Wilson (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Ipswich Town 0-0 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth drew their last League One away game 0-0 against fifth-placed Bolton Wanderers, and so a similar result should be expected on Saturday, with very little separating the two teams. That result is likely to suit the visitors far more than the hosts, as it would maintain Argyle's seven-point lead over Ipswich, setting them up nicely for an easier game at home to Cheltenham next weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
67.24% (0.194 0.19) 19.51% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 13.25% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 48.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38% (0.085999999999999 0.09)44.62% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01% (0.082000000000001 0.08)66.99% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.69% (0.079999999999998 0.08)12.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.91% (0.169 0.17)38.09% (-0.172 -0.17)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.25% (-0.126 -0.13)44.75% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.26% (-0.104 -0.1)80.73% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 67.22%
    Plymouth Argyle 13.25%
    Draw 19.51%
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.08% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.44% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.79% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.42% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.85% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 67.22%
1-1 @ 9.28% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.51%
0-1 @ 4.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 13.25%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Plymouth

Ipswich Town
37.5%
Draw
18.8%
Plymouth Argyle
43.8%
32
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2022 12.30pm
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
2-1
Ipswich
Jephcott (44'), Grant (50')
Garrick (75')
Edmundson (14')
Edmundson (22'), Chaplin (26'), Morsy (56'), Nsiala (75')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Ipswich
Jephcott (14')
Mayor (52'), Nouble (71'), Watts (79')
Mayor (71')
Nolan (73'), Jackson (74')
McGavin (50'), Cornell (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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