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Bristol Rovers
EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Plymouth


Loft (85'), Thomas (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Waine (24'), Hardie (32')
Matete (71'), Lonwijk (77'), Ennis (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bristol Rovers and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 0-1 Plymouth Argyle

 Bristol Rovers have been in very good form recently, but given that Plymouth Argyle are the highest-ranked side in the competition, it would be unwise to bet against them. Games involving the Pilgrims have not contained many goals as of late, so it would not be a surprise if the game went all the way to penalties in a stalemate, but we think that they will eke out a 1-0 victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPlymouth Argyle
39.84% (0.46 0.46) 24.18% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 35.98% (-0.487 -0.49)
Both teams to score 60.66% (-0.158 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.13% (-0.18 -0.18)41.86% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73% (-0.182 -0.18)64.27% (0.181 0.18)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (0.14100000000001 0.14)21.13% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (0.221 0.22)53.98% (-0.222 -0.22)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)23.08% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (-0.501 -0.5)56.92% (0.501 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 39.84%
    Plymouth Argyle 35.98%
    Draw 24.17%
Bristol RoversDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.058 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 39.84%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.88% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 8.15% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.98%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth

Bristol Rovers
18.5%
Draw
25.9%
Plymouth Argyle
55.6%
27
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-2
Plymouth
Coburn (47'), Collins (57')
Azaz (14'), Randell (45+2')
Houghton (23')
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Plymouth
1-1
Bristol Rovers
 Plymouth win 4-3 on penalties
Hardie (58' pen.)
Whittaker (37')
Loft (50')
Saunders (60'), Rossiter (88')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Ennis (7', 45')
Ennis (18'), Opoku (39'), Lewis (75')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Plymouth
Kilgour (7'), McCormick (26'), Westbrooke (85')
Upson (68')

Watts (40'), Fornah (45+2')
Dec 17, 2019 7.30pm
Second Round
Plymouth
0-1
Bristol Rovers
Rodman (68')
Upson (60'), Rodman (70'), Bennett (95')
rhs 2.0
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