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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Cheltenham

Collins (25'), Coburn (39')
Loft (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
May (48')
Ferry (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Cheltenham Town

There are only three points between these two teams in the league table, and we are expecting it to be a close match on New Year's Day. Both managers will be keen not to lose, which could create a cagey affair, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 53.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawCheltenham Town
53.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.49% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 50.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.98% (0.0020000000000024 0)51.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12%72.89% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)19.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)50.82% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.52% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)74.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 53.12%
    Cheltenham Town 22.39%
    Draw 24.48%
Bristol RoversDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.3%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.12%
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 22.39%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham

Bristol Rovers
70.6%
Draw
23.5%
Cheltenham Town
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
1-4
Bristol Rovers
Sercombe (54' pen.)
Collins (15', 45+2'), Evans (23'), Thomas (42')
Gibson (71')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Cheltenham

Baldwin (88')
May (58'), Vassell (71')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Cheltenham
Smith (38', 49'), Clarke-Harris (67')

Thomas (45')
Feb 11, 2014 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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