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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Cambridge United

Morecambe
1 - 2
Cambridge

Weir (12')
Weir (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lankester (32'), Knibbs (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Hartlepool
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Cambridge
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Cambridge United

Recent setbacks in League One have taken the gloss off a bright start for Cambridge this term, and they will surely not suffer a third straight loss at the hands of Morecambe. The hosts have enjoyed improved fortunes of late, but remain vulnerable defensively and are likely to concede more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cambridge United in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCambridge United
37.92% (0.179 0.18) 27.59% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 34.49% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 48.97% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (0.202 0.2)56.76% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.29% (0.161 0.16)77.7% (-0.163 -0.16)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.20400000000001 0.2)28.95% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.253 0.25)64.84% (-0.256 -0.26)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (0.021000000000001 0.02)31.08% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (0.025999999999996 0.03)67.39% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 37.92%
    Cambridge United 34.49%
    Draw 27.58%
MorecambeDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.92%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.58%
0-1 @ 10.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.49%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Cambridge

Morecambe
30.8%
Draw
17.3%
Cambridge United
51.9%
52
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Cambridge
2-1
Morecambe
Smith (42'), Ironside (71' pen.)
Stockton (68')
Fane (51')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Morecambe
0-2
Cambridge

McDonald (19'), Stockton (45+1'), Ayunga (54'), Price (64')
Worman (28'), Ironside (72' pen.)
Lankester (29'), Smith (78')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
2-1
Morecambe
Mullin (18', 81' pen.)
Taylor (83'), Ironside (87'), Digby (90+3'), Burton (90+4')
Price (88')
Mendes Gomes (51'), Wildig (82')
Gibson (55')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
0-5
Cambridge

Diagouraga (58'), Mendes Gomes (60')
Hoolahan (29'), Turner (34' og.), May (37'), Mullin (54', 64')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
1-1
Cambridge
Phillips (46')
Phillips (55'), Slew (60'), Cooney (92')
Knibbs (68')
Lewis (25'), Maris (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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