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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Exeter City

Northampton
1 - 2
Exeter

Guthrie (73')
Guthrie (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harris (20'), Aimson (83')
Woods (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-0 Northampton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 2-4 Exeter
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-2 Exeter City

 Northampton Town will be keen to bounce back from last week's disappointment and maintain a lead over Saturday's visitors, but they meet an Exeter City side with momentum firmly behind them on their climb towards the top half, and we back the Grecians to continue their fine run with another three-point haul at Sixfields. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawExeter City
38.73% (0.061999999999998 0.06) 25.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 35.65% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (0.0040000000000013 0)70.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (0.035999999999987 0.04)24.66% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (0.048000000000002 0.05)59.18% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.37% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.48% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)61.52% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 38.73%
    Exeter City 35.65%
    Draw 25.62%
Northampton TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.73%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 35.65%

How you voted: Northampton vs Exeter

Northampton Town
14.3%
Draw
28.6%
Exeter City
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
0-2
Northampton

Jules (8')
Hoskins (20'), Brough (90+2')
Brady (9'), Bowie (34'), Brough (41'), Sherring (44'), Odimayo (62'), Monthe (84')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-1
Exeter
Pinnock (29')
Guthrie (87')
Nombe (71')
Dieng (20'), Sparkes (54'), Brown (68'), Collins (88'), Key (90+4')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')
Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')
> Preview
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Atangana (51')
Rose (22'), Ashley-Seal (82')
Rose (40'), Smith (51'), McWilliams (86'), Horsfall (90+2')
Jun 29, 2020 7.30pm
Exeter
0-4
Northampton
> Match Report
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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