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League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The New York Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Rotherham
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Smith (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Boyle (31'), Nlundulu (38'), Sercombe (86'), Thomas (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Rotherham United 3-1 Cheltenham Town

The Millers usually fare well on home turf, and we do not see that changing at the weekend when they come up against a Cheltenham side that are struggling to pick up wins. Rotherham have found the net with ease at home in recent times, and we think that they will be among the goals once again on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 68%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
68%18.57%13.42%
Both teams to score 52.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.01%39.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.65%62.35%
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.22%10.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.22%34.77%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.43%41.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.94%78.05%
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 68%
    Cheltenham Town 13.42%
    Draw 18.57%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 11.11%
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 7.25%
4-0 @ 4.6%
4-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 3.18%
5-0 @ 2.05%
5-1 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 68%
1-1 @ 8.76%
0-0 @ 4.48%
2-2 @ 4.28%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.57%
0-1 @ 3.93%
1-2 @ 3.85%
0-2 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.25%
1-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 13.42%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Cheltenham

Rotherham United
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Cheltenham Town
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Mar 16, 2013 3pm
Nov 17, 2012 3pm
Rotherham
4-2
Cheltenham
Pringle (20'), Frecklington (90'), Nardiello (4', 29')
O'Connor (56'), Odejayi (89')
Lowe (1'), Zebroski (31')
Pack (69'), McGlashan (78')
Dec 30, 2011 3pm
Cheltenham
1-0
Rotherham
Pack (11')
Penn (57')

Harrison (41'), Tonge (47'), Raynes (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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