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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Barnsley |
20.55% ( -0.29) | 22.95% ( 0.33) | 56.51% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.73% ( -1.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.2% ( -1.78) | 46.8% ( 1.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.94% ( -1.69) | 69.06% ( 1.69) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.05% ( -1.3) | 36.96% ( 1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.26% ( -1.32) | 73.74% ( 1.32) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.65% ( -0.64) | 16.35% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.03% ( -1.16) | 45.97% ( 1.17) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 3% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.55% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.58) 0-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 58 |
3 | Wrexham | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 44 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 44 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 43 |
9 | Barnsley | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Reading | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
13 | Blackpool | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Stevenage | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 24 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |