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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Leyton Orient |
38.15% ( -0.09) | 28.07% ( -0.02) | 33.77% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 47.41% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.34% ( 0.1) | 58.65% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.8% ( 0.08) | 79.2% ( -0.08) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.26% ( -0) | 29.74% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.19% ( -0.01) | 65.81% ( 0.01) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.48% ( 0.13) | 32.52% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.95% ( 0.14) | 69.05% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.14% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 44 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 35 |
17 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
> League Two Full Table |