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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 21
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Harrogate Town

Sutton
1 - 2
Harrogate

Jackson (87')
Kizzi (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muldoon (58', 75')
Dooley (33'), Burrell (52'), Sutton (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Harrogate
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 1-1 Harrogate Town

Sutton will be desperate to end their wait for a win in Tuesday's fixture against Harrogate, but we think that they will have to settle for a fourth consecutive draw, with their opponents currently enjoying a three-game unbeaten away run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
43.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 30.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)50.45% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.38% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)23.22% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.88% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)57.12% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (0.02000000000001 0.02)30.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (0.024000000000001 0.02)66.43% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 43.23%
    Harrogate Town 30.97%
    Draw 25.8%
Sutton UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 43.23%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 30.97%

How you voted: Sutton vs Harrogate

Sutton United
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Harrogate Town
30.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Sutton
2-1
Harrogate
Beautyman (21'), Kouassi (70')
Rose (90+5')
Armstrong (45+2' pen.)
Richards (26'), Austerfield (48')
Horbury (73')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Harrogate
0-2
Sutton
Eastmond (8'), Olaofe (78')
Kizzi (63')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Sutton
1-0
Harrogate
Eastmond (80')
Davis (4'), Smith (74')

Armstrong (4'), Page (29'), McArdle (71')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Sutton
1-0
Harrogate
Wilson (30')
Barden (32'), Bugiel (63')

Diamond (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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