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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 21
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Harrogate Town

Sutton
1 - 2
Harrogate

Jackson (87')
Kizzi (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muldoon (58', 75')
Dooley (33'), Burrell (52'), Sutton (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Harrogate
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 1-1 Harrogate Town

Sutton will be desperate to end their wait for a win in Tuesday's fixture against Harrogate, but we think that they will have to settle for a fourth consecutive draw, with their opponents currently enjoying a three-game unbeaten away run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
43.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 30.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)50.45% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.38% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)23.22% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.88% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)57.12% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (0.02000000000001 0.02)30.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (0.024000000000001 0.02)66.43% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 43.23%
    Harrogate Town 30.97%
    Draw 25.8%
Sutton UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 43.23%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 30.97%

How you voted: Sutton vs Harrogate

Sutton United
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Harrogate Town
30.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Sutton
2-1
Harrogate
Beautyman (21'), Kouassi (70')
Rose (90+5')
Armstrong (45+2' pen.)
Richards (26'), Austerfield (48')
Horbury (73')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Harrogate
0-2
Sutton
Eastmond (8'), Olaofe (78')
Kizzi (63')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Sutton
1-0
Harrogate
Eastmond (80')
Davis (4'), Smith (74')

Armstrong (4'), Page (29'), McArdle (71')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Sutton
1-0
Harrogate
Wilson (30')
Barden (32'), Bugiel (63')

Diamond (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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