Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 21, 2024 at 10pm UK
Complejo Deportivo Socialista
Puerto Cabello0 - 2Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Academia Puerto Cabello and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensor 1-0 Puerto Cabello (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, February 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 2-1 River Plate
Friday, February 16 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, February 16 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Academia Puerto Cabello win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Academia Puerto Cabello win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Nacional |
37.02% ( -0.03) | 26.96% ( -0.01) | 36.01% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
