MX23RW : Friday, December 13 16:38:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Willem II

Ajax
1 - 0
Willem II

Klaassen (6' pen.)
Gaaei (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Qarabag 0-3 Ajax
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Willem II 0-0 Sittard
Sunday, October 20 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 4-1 Willem II

Having lost just three times this season, Willem II will back themselves to earn something from this contest. Nevertheless, Ajax are building up a head of steam, leading us to predict a one-sided victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 76.59%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 8.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawWillem II
76.59% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 14.9%8.52% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.52% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.24% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)36.76% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.07% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)58.93% (0.061 0.06)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)7.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.96% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)28.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.61% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)48.39% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.49% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)83.51% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 76.58%
    Willem II 8.52%
    Draw 14.9%
AjaxDrawWillem II
2-0 @ 12.32% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.41% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 6.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 76.58%
1-1 @ 7.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 14.9%
0-1 @ 2.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 8.52%

How you voted: Ajax vs Willem II

Ajax
87.0%
Draw
6.5%
Willem II
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Willem II
0-1
Ajax

Crowley (34')
Maduro (81')
Dec 2, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 14
Ajax
5-0
Willem II
Antony (15', 23'), Martinez (18'), Klaassen (71'), Danilo (76')

Saddiki (56'), Yeboah (89'), Kohn (89')
Jan 28, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Ajax
3-1
Willem II
Klaassen (51'), Brobbey (83'), Tadic (87')
Schuurs (89'), Blind (90+1')
Pavlidis (62')
Dec 23, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 14
Willem II
1-1
Ajax
Antony (4')
Antony (66')
Apr 26, 2020 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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