La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves1 - 3Barcelona
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Barcelona.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Alaves.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Alaves.
We said: Alaves 1-2 Barcelona
This is a really hard match to call, especially considering Alaves' strong form, and we would not be shocked to see a home win or a draw here. Barcelona need to keep picking up wins in order to stay in the title picture, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to a vital three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Barcelona |
26.27% ( -0.57) | 25.37% ( -0.17) | 48.35% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
