Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.