Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Aldershot Town |
50.44% ( 0.17) | 24.3% ( -0.21) | 25.26% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.27% ( 0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.39% ( 0.93) | 47.61% ( -0.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.19% ( 0.85) | 69.81% ( -0.85) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% ( 0.43) | 18.9% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.61% ( 0.71) | 50.39% ( -0.71) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.92% ( 0.54) | 33.08% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.32% ( 0.59) | 69.68% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Aldershot Town |
1-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.19% Total : 50.43% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 25.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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