Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Barnet |
27.28% ( -6.18) | 23.4% ( -1.43) | 49.32% ( 7.61) |
Both teams to score 59.2% ( 1.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.04% ( 3.44) | 41.96% ( -3.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.64% ( 3.37) | 64.36% ( -3.37) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.47% ( -2.36) | 28.53% ( 2.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.69% ( -3.06) | 64.31% ( 3.06) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.82% ( 4.6) | 17.17% ( -4.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.57% ( 7.53) | 47.43% ( -7.53) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 6.79% ( -1.02) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( -1.49) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( -1.27) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.65) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.68) Other @ 3.54% Total : 27.28% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.82) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.8) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.66) 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.98) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( 1.09) 0-3 @ 4.47% ( 1.1) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.49) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.75) 0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.68) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.39) Other @ 3.99% Total : 49.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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