Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.