Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 12.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
69.96% ( 0.75) | 18.02% ( -0.45) | 12.02% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 49.77% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.09% ( 1.3) | 40.91% ( -1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.7% ( 1.32) | 63.3% ( -1.32) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.47% ( 0.55) | 10.53% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.77% ( 1.23) | 34.23% ( -1.23) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.63% ( 0.34) | 44.37% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.57% ( 0.28) | 80.43% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
2-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 5% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.08) Other @ 4.17% Total : 69.95% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 18.02% | 0-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.21% Total : 12.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |