Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca1 - 1AVS
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Arouca
Sunday, September 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 0-0 Farense
Monday, September 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, September 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Arouca 1-0 AVS
Arouca have netted one league goal in front of their supporters this term — a 1-0 win over promoted Nacional — sandwiched between two losses to Vitoria Guimaraes (1-0) and Sporting (3-0). A tight, low-scoring match is expected in Arouca, with the home side tipped to win 1-0 and extend AVS's winless streak away from home. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 51.28%. A win for AVS had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | AVS |
51.28% ( -0.27) | 22.88% ( 0.05) | 25.84% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 59.67% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
