Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 1, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
We said: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Benfica are currently firing on all cylinders and will be backing themselves to see off an out-of-sorts Arouca side who have endured a difficult start to the season. That said, we predict a one-sided affair at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca, with As Aguias claiming all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Benfica |
17% ( -0.32) | 20.98% ( -0.19) | 62.01% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
