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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Jun 2, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
Fiorentina

Lookman (12'), Scalvini (32')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Belotti (6', 45+1'), Gonzalez (19')
Martinez (75'), Ranieri (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Olympiacos 1-0 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Fiorentina

Having returned to winning ways in Europe on Thursday, Atalanta are due a Serie A victory after four matches without one, with Gasperini's willingness to freshen his side possibly proving pivotal in Sunday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
39.05% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 26.25% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 34.7% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.21% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.6% (0.056999999999995 0.06)51.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.21% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (0.063000000000002 0.06)25.78% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27% (0.088000000000001 0.09)60.73% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)28.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)64.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 39.05%
    Fiorentina 34.7%
    Draw 26.25%
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.7% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 39.05%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.7%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Fiorentina

Atalanta BC
80.6%
Draw
13.9%
Fiorentina
5.6%
216
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Atalanta
4-1
Fiorentina
Koopmeiners (8'), Scamacca (75'), Lookman (90+4'), Pasalic (90+8')
Kolasinac (56'), Scamacca (80')
Martinez (68')
Mandragora (43'), Dodo (69')
Milenkovic (53')
Apr 3, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Mandragora (31')
Mandragora (55'), Kouame (81')

Miranchuk (29'), de Roon (78'), Scamacca (89')
Sep 17, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Fiorentina
3-2
Atalanta
Bonaventura (35'), Martinez (45'), Kouame (76')
Parisi (87')
Koopmeiners (20'), Lookman (53')
de Roon (34'), Zortea (65')
Apr 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
1-1
Atalanta
Cabral (56' pen.)
Maehle (37')
Oct 2, 2022 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma185582424020
11Empoli194871822-420
12Torino185581924-520
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
15Parma184682534-918
16Como184682030-1018
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
19CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
20Monza1817101625-910


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