Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 23, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Arena MRV
Atletico Mineiro1 - 1Fortaleza
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vitoria 4-2 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
We said: Atletico Mineiro 3-1 Fortaleza
Atletico Mineiro may be coming into this game on the back of two consecutive defeats with eight goals conceded in that time, but they have not lost to Fortaleza at home since 2021, leading us to believe the home side will win this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Fortaleza |
58.63% ( -0.16) | 22.44% ( 0.11) | 18.93% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
