MX23RW : Thursday, November 28 04:50:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Aug 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Gremio

Athletico PR
0 - 2
Gremio


Gamarra (17'), Cuello (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Martins (18'), Monsalve (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Gremio
Thursday, August 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-2 Gremio

While Gremio continue to battle the drop and have a very poor away record this season, they have begun to show signs of life in recent weeks, and we feel they will continue their upward trajectory by claiming a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawGremio
53.74% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24) 25.01% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 21.25% (0.155 0.15)
Both teams to score 47.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.8% (-0.132 -0.13)54.2% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.39% (-0.112 -0.11)75.61% (0.107 0.11)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.148 -0.15)20.15% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57% (-0.236 -0.24)52.43% (0.232 0.23)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.54% (0.085000000000001 0.09)40.46% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.93% (0.076999999999998 0.08)77.07% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 53.73%
    Gremio 21.25%
    Draw 25%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawGremio
1-0 @ 13.05%
2-0 @ 10.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 53.73%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Gremio

Athletico Paranaense
48.3%
Draw
41.4%
Gremio
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 2
Gremio
2-0
Athletico PR
Cristaldo (19'), Soteldo (51')
Nunes (71')

Santana (33'), Vitor (59'), Esquivel (71')
Oct 18, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 27
Gremio
1-2
Athletico PR
Besozzi (7')
Suarez (44'), Reinaldo (58')
Reinaldo (90+7')
Zapelli (38'), Rocha (90+4')
Canobbio (25'), Santana (53'), Heleno (57'), Esquivel (73'), Cuello (85'), Rocha (90+5')
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Athletico PR
1-2
Gremio
Roque (34')
Bueno (55'), Heleno (76')
Cuiabano (31'), Uvini (49')
Adriel (55'), Reinaldo (56'), Henrique (90+6'), Martins (90+8')
Sep 26, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 22
Athletico PR
4-2
Gremio
Rocha (31', 45+1'), Kayzer (55', 61')
Ivaldo (67')
Thiago (59'), Vanderson (84')
Ruan (65'), Borja (66'), Costa (90+1'), Rafinha (90+3'), Sarara (90+4')
Jun 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Gremio
0-1
Athletico PR

Henrique (34'), Thiago (60'), Rafinha (65'), Ferreira (90+6'), Souza (90+7')
Babi (44')
Christian (11'), Babi (50'), Richard (87'), Khellven (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo362110556282873
2PalmeirasPalmeiras36217858312770
3InternacionalInternacional351811651292265
4FortalezaFortaleza351811649341565
5FlamengoFlamengo35189853381563
6Sao Paulo351781050371359
7Cruzeiro35139134038248
8Bahia35138144545047
9Corinthians351211124443147
10Atletico Mineiro361014124652-644
11Vasco da GamaVasco35127163753-1643
12Vitoria35126174049-942
13JuventudeJuventude361012144657-1142
14Gremio35118164145-441
15Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR35118163842-441
16Fluminense35109163038-839
17CriciumaCriciuma35911153949-1038
18BragantinoBragantino35813143645-937
19Cuiaba35612172744-1730
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3568212453-2926


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