MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 19:44:50| >> :60:1314:1314:
Athletico Paranaense
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 31, 2024 at 11pm UK
Alinja Arena
Bragantino

Athletico PR
2 - 0
Bragantino

Zapelli (21'), Christian (28')
Fernandinho (37'), Erick (55'), Esquivel (73'), Gabriel (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Athletico Paranaense and Bragantino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Bragantino

Having picked up two impressive victories in the last week, Athletico Paranaense will head into Wednesday's tie with confidence as they look to keep the ball rolling. Bragantino's recent results in this fixture should give them plenty of optimism, but we see the hosts coming out on top in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 52.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBragantino
52.65% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.59% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.67% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96%51.05% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1%72.91% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65%19.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.86% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)51.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)37.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04% (0.0040000000000013 0)73.96% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 52.64%
    Bragantino 22.77%
    Draw 24.59%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 11.81%
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 2.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 52.64%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 22.77%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Bragantino

Athletico Paranaense
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Bragantino
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bragantino
1-0
Athletico PR
Raul (8')
Santos (18'), Henrique (88'), Cravero (90+5')
Schwengber (45+6')

Christian (57'), Canobbio (70'), Rocha (86'), Gamarra (88'), Cuello (88'), Pablo (90+2'), Gabriel (90+5')
Oct 8, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 26
Athletico PR
1-1
Bragantino
Pablo (40')
Fernandinho (45+3'), Canobbio (90+1')
Ramires (34')
Helinho (10'), Capixaba (14'), Silva (67'), Raul (79'), Caixinha (82')
May 20, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 7
Bragantino
2-0
Athletico PR
Sasha (16'), Borbas (86')
Schwengber (21'), Sasha (79'), Jadsom (90+5')

Madson (80'), Canobbio (85'), Andrade (86')
Oct 22, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bragantino
4-2
Athletico PR
Ramires (5'), Popo (37'), Candido (45+4', 90')
Bueno (64'), Vitinho (67')
Jun 25, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 14
Athletico PR
4-2
Bragantino
Erick (5'), Manuel Orejuela (16'), Cardoso (23'), Moura (67')
Roque (59'), Khellven (77'), Bueno (89'), Babi (90+7')
Alerrandro (79'), Evangelista (82' pen.)
Helinho (27')
rhs 2.0
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