MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 10:52:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Famalicao logo

AVS
2 - 3
Famalicao

Lopes (6'), Akinsola (30')
Grau (39'), Roux (50'), Lopes (72'), Fonseca (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Aranda (14'), Dias (17', 77')
Dias (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AVS 0-5 Porto
Monday, October 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, October 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: AVS 0-2 Famalicao

AVS and Famalicao were both on the wrong end of heavy defeats last time out and will head into the weekend looking to bounce back. While home advantage gives Campelos's men a slight edge, the Vila Nova boast a superior squad on paper and we are backing them to come away with the desired result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for AVS had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.55%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
AVSDrawFamalicao
18.53% (-0.455 -0.46) 24.58% (-0.199 -0.2) 56.9% (0.656 0.66)
Both teams to score 44.79% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.26% (0.152 0.15)55.74% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.13% (0.126 0.13)76.88% (-0.121 -0.12)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.64% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)44.36% (0.44900000000001 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.58% (-0.366 -0.37)80.42% (0.369 0.37)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (0.31699999999999 0.32)19.5% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.62% (0.51 0.51)51.38% (-0.508 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    AVS 18.53%
    Famalicao 56.89%
    Draw 24.57%
AVSDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-1 @ 4.67% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.86% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 18.53%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.65% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 14.14% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 11.55% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.4% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.3% (0.146 0.15)
1-3 @ 5.12% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.57% (0.084 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 56.89%

How you voted: AVS vs Famalicao

AVS
Draw
Famalicao
AVS
0.0%
Draw
50.0%
Famalicao
50.0%
8
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Benfica1411213482635
3Porto1411123392434
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8Casa Pia155551618-220
9FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS142661122-1112
14Nacional14338819-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca153210926-1711
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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