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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
62.87% ( 0.7) | 19.55% ( -0.09) | 17.58% ( -0.61) |
Both teams to score 59.07% ( -0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.11% ( -0.65) | 35.89% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.02% ( -0.72) | 57.98% ( 0.72) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.08% ( -0.01) | 10.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.89% ( -0.03) | 35.11% ( 0.02) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.32% ( -1.05) | 33.68% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.66% ( -1.16) | 70.33% ( 1.16) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.8% Total : 62.87% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.55% | 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.88% Total : 17.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |