MX23RW : Monday, November 18 01:44:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 13, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Waalwijk logo

AZ
3 - 2
RKC Waalwijk

Sugawara (66'), Sadiq (75'), Pavlidis (77')
Goes (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Min (3', 42')
Min (67'), Lokesa (74'), Vaessen (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 5-1 AZ
Saturday, April 6 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, April 7 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 RKC Waalwijk

AZ are currently undergoing a rough patch but will still fancy their chances of securing maximum points from this one. We fully expect the hosts to get the job done with relative ease come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawRKC Waalwijk
78.07% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 13.68% (0.035 0.04) 8.24% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.59% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)31.41% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.13% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)52.87% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.55% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)6.45% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.87% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)24.13% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.87% (0.022000000000006 0.02)45.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.96% (0.016000000000002 0.02)81.03% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 78.07%
    RKC Waalwijk 8.24%
    Draw 13.68%
AZ AlkmaarDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-0 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.99% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.98% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 6.85% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.75% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-0 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.37% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 78.07%
1-1 @ 6.35% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.46% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 13.68%
1-2 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 8.24%

How you voted: AZ vs RKC Waalwijk

AZ Alkmaar
82.1%
Draw
10.7%
RKC Waalwijk
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 2
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
AZ
Kramer (41' pen.)
Kramer (58'), Margaret (76')
Pavlidis (54', 79'), De Wit (59')
Poku (63')
Apr 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 30
AZ
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Mijnans (8'), Lahdo (50'), Van Brederode (63')
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
RKC Waalwijk
3-1
AZ
Bel Hassani (32'), Bakkali (87', 90+1')
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 30
AZ
1-3
RKC Waalwijk
De Wit (45+1')
Stokkers (18'), Gaari (64'), Kuijpers (79')
Feb 9, 2022 6pm
Quarter-Finals
RKC Waalwijk
0-4
AZ

Nieuwpoort (60')
De Wit (8'), Pavlidis (23'), Karlsson (33' pen.), Aboukhlal (71')
Reijnders (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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