Barcelona3 - 0Man City
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Sunday, December 15 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
for
We said: Barcelona Women 3-1 Manchester City Women
Man City may have won all five of their group games, but they will travel to Barcelona without a number of key players, and we think that their depleted squad could find it tough going against the European champions. With that in mind, we think that the hosts will do enough to win by a two-goal margin to leapfrog Man City in the standings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 74.41%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 11.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 3-0 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Manchester City Women win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
74.41% ( 0.71) | 13.94% ( 0.03) | 11.64% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 65.87% ( -2.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
