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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ewood Park
Derby logo

Blackburn
4 - 2
Derby

Dolan (19'), Weimann (72'), Szmodics (76'), Ohashi (84')
Dolan (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nelson (67'), Wilson (88')
Barkhuizen (11'), Collins (82'), Cashin (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-1 Blackburn
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Derby County

The opening day of a season is a complete unknown, and that is particularly the case with two well-matched teams squaring off here. Derby will be eager to make an impression, yet we are backing Rovers to make a positive start to their campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
29.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 25.54% (0.012 0.01) 45.02% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.97% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)50.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)72.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (0.010000000000005 0.01)31.12% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (0.010999999999996 0.01)67.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)22.19% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)55.6% (0.052 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 29.44%
    Derby County 45.02%
    Draw 25.53%
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 8.06% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.7% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 29.44%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 45.02%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Derby

Blackburn Rovers
65.2%
Draw
18.4%
Derby County
16.5%
158
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Blackburn
3-1
Derby
Wharton (53'), Dolan (59'), Gallagher (90+7')
Travis (83')
Morrison (28')
Morrison (67')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Derby
1-2
Blackburn
Davies (89')
Shinnie (29'), Lawrence (50')
Brereton Diaz (8', 20')
Lenihan (59'), Buckley (85'), Khadra (88'), Poveda (89'), Travis (90+1')
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 42
Blackburn
2-1
Derby
Gallagher (42'), Elliott (66')
Holtby (32'), Elliott (67')
Lawrence (22')
Clarke (45+1')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
0-4
Blackburn

Buchanan (33'), Rooney (80')
Dolan (11'), Johnson (12', 15'), Armstrong (78')
Johnson (36'), Lenihan (42'), Rothwell (66')
Mar 8, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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