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Brechin City
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Glebe Park
Alloa Athletic

Brechin
1 - 3
Alloa

Scott (84')
Spark (39'), Ferguson (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taggart (17' pen.), Cawley (66'), Rankin (75')
Hetherington (40'), Scougall (42')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Brechin City and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brechin City

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Morton 1-0 Brechin
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose0nan
2Clyde0nan
3East Fife0nan
4Edinburgh0nan
5Elgin0nan
6Forfar0nan
7Peterhead0nan
8Spartans0nan
9Stirling0nan
10Stranraer0nan

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Alloa 0-0 East Fife (5-3 pen.)
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Brechin City had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.17%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Brechin City win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.

Result
Brechin CityDrawAlloa Athletic
31.71% (0.02 0.02) 22.25% (0.139 0.14) 46.04% (-0.155 -0.16)
Both teams to score 66.52% (-0.523 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.37% (-0.68900000000001 -0.69)33.63% (0.694 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.55% (-0.79 -0.79)55.45% (0.794 0.79)
Brechin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)21.54% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.39% (-0.497 -0.5)54.61% (0.503 0.5)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (-0.316 -0.32)15.22% (0.32 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.12% (-0.604 -0.6)43.88% (0.608 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Brechin City 31.71%
    Alloa Athletic 46.04%
    Draw 22.25%
Brechin CityDrawAlloa Athletic
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.04 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.03% (0.132 0.13)
2-0 @ 3.86% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 31.71%
1-1 @ 9.48% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.85% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.28% (0.117 0.12)
3-3 @ 2.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.154 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.81% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.6% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.3% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.65% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.63% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.02% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 46.04%

Head to Head
Jul 20, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Brechin
1-0
Alloa
Scott (55')

Boyd (68')
May 20, 2017 5.15pm
Final
Alloa
4-3
Brechin
(Aggregate 3-3 | Brechin win 5-4 on penalties)
Spence (36', 40', 74'), Mackin (79')
Waters (21')
Dale (34'), McLean (54'), Watt (77')
McLean (36')
May 17, 2017 7.35pm
Final
Brechin
1-0
Alloa
Ford (56')
Graham (69')
Apr 15, 2017 3pm
Alloa
6-1
Brechin
McCluskey (25'), Spence (32', 65' pen.), Marr (47'), Flannigan (69', 83')
Jackson (23')
Smith (63')
Mar 21, 2017 7.45pm
Brechin
1-2
Alloa
Jackson (76')
Cawley (41'), Graham (91')
Hetherington (30'), Flannigan (88')
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