Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Brest1 - 5Marseille
We said: Brest 1-1 Marseille
De Zerbi's side are likely to dominate the possession in this game and could cause Brest plenty of problems, but we expect the hosts to pounce on the counter-attack, leading us to expect a draw in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Marseille |
40.25% ( -0.02) | 27.39% ( 0.15) | 32.36% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.63% ( -0.61) | 56.37% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.61% ( -0.5) | 77.39% ( 0.49) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.56% ( -0.3) | 27.44% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.08% ( -0.39) | 62.92% ( 0.39) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.69% ( -0.4) | 32.31% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.18% ( -0.46) | 68.82% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
Brest 40.25%
Marseille 32.35%
Draw 27.39%
| Brest | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.35% |
How you voted: Brest vs Marseille
Brest
25.0%Draw
21.2%Marseille
53.8%52
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 7.45pm
Aug 26, 2023 6pm
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Marseille
1-2
Brest
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Brest
1-1
Marseille
