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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Brest logo

Marseille
1 - 2
Brest

Mbemba (75')
Veretout (63'), Balerdi (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Magnetti (57'), Camara (81')
Chardonnet (67'), Lala (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 2-1 Brest

Even with nothing but pride left to play for between now and the end of the season, a defensively-sound Brest side can frustrate a withering Marseille team, especially one that just cannot keep the back door shut in front of their own fans. However, Tudor's goal-happy charges are adept at finding ways to prevail at the Stade Velodrome and should do so again here by the narrowest of margins, although whether that will be enough to take the race for second place down to the final day remains to be seen. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 71.01%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Brest had a probability of 11.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawBrest
71.01% (0.0010000000000048 0) 17.96% (0.00099999999999767 0) 11.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 46.62% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.29% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)65.71% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.08% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)10.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.9% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)35.09%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.33% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)47.66% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.02% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)82.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 71.01%
    Brest 11.03%
    Draw 17.96%
MarseilleDrawBrest
2-0 @ 12.76%
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 5.22%
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59%
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 71.01%
1-1 @ 8.54%
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.5%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.96%
0-1 @ 3.86%
1-2 @ 3.16%
0-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 11.03%

How you voted: Marseille vs Brest

Marseille
81.8%
Draw
13.6%
Brest
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 2
Brest
1-1
Marseille
Lees-Melou (61')
Der Zakarian (29'), Belaili (51')
Tavares (38')
Milik (17'), Gerson (57'), Rongier (65'), Guendouzi (74')
Mar 13, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 28
Brest
1-4
Marseille
Cardona (90+1')
Satriano (35')
Gerson (3'), Milik (63'), Harit (71'), Under (90+1')
Guendouzi (33'), Saliba (77'), Gueye (89'), Peres (90')
Dec 4, 2021 4pm
gameweek 17
Marseille
1-2
Brest
Gerson (29')
Kamara (61')
Faivre (53' pen.), Honorat (70')
Pierre-Gabriel (90+2'), Cardona (90+3')
Mar 13, 2021 4pm
gameweek 29
Marseille
3-1
Brest
Milik (45+1'), Thauvin (88'), Cuisance (90+3')
Caleta-Car (21'), Gonzalez (23'), Thauvin (38')
Brassier (71')
Mounie (55')
Aug 30, 2020 8pm
gameweek 2
Brest
2-3
Marseille
Faivre (45+1'), Charbonnier (89')
Pierre-Gabriel (84'), Magnetti (90')
Thauvin (20'), Caleta-Car (27', 80')
Kamara (8'), Amavi (30'), Radonjic (45+3'), Balerdi (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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