Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille1 - 2Brest
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Marseille 2-1 Brest
Even with nothing but pride left to play for between now and the end of the season, a defensively-sound Brest side can frustrate a withering Marseille team, especially one that just cannot keep the back door shut in front of their own fans. However, Tudor's goal-happy charges are adept at finding ways to prevail at the Stade Velodrome and should do so again here by the narrowest of margins, although whether that will be enough to take the race for second place down to the final day remains to be seen. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 71.01%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Brest had a probability of 11.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Brest |
71.01% ( 0) | 17.96% ( 0) | 11.03% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 46.62% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.68% ( -0) | 43.31% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.29% ( -0) | 65.71% ( 0) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.08% ( -0) | 10.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.9% ( -0) | 35.09% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.33% ( -0.01) | 47.66% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.02% ( -0) | 82.98% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Marseille 71.01%
Brest 11.03%
Draw 17.96%
| Marseille | Draw | Brest |
| 2-0 @ 12.76% 1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 9.46% 3-0 @ 9.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.22% 4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.59% 5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 71.01% | 1-1 @ 8.54% 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.71% Total : 17.96% | 0-1 @ 3.86% 1-2 @ 3.16% 0-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 11.03% |
How you voted: Marseille vs Brest
Marseille
81.8%Draw
13.6%Brest
4.5%22
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 2
Brest
1-1
Marseille
Dec 4, 2021 4pm
gameweek 17
Marseille
1-2
Brest
Mar 13, 2021 4pm
gameweek 29
Marseille
3-1
Brest
Aug 30, 2020 8pm
gameweek 2
Brest
2-3
Marseille
