We said: Brest 1-1 Rennes
Rennes have lost all three away games so far this season, and Brest have won four in a row at home in all competitions, meaning the hosts will be favourites, but it should not be all doom and gloom for the visitors.
Brest have a huge game against Leverkusen in midweek, and Rennes have scored in all seven games so far, so there are positives for them to cling onto, plus it is never wise to look at the form table when predicting the outcome of a derby.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.56) 
0.57) 
