Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley2 - 1Watford
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Norwich 1-2 Burnley
Sunday, December 15 at 3pm in Championship
Sunday, December 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-1 West Brom
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Championship
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
29
We said: Burnley 1-1 Watford
While Burnley are yet to taste defeat at Turf Moor this season, they have had to settle for draws in five of their 10 home league games, and we think the promotion hopefuls may have to be content with a share of the spoils when they face a Watford side that are unbeaten in six games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Watford |
47.23% ( 0.22) | 24.79% ( -0.04) | 27.98% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.05% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
