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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Peterborough United

Burton Albion
1 - 3
Peterborough

Ola-Adebomi (70')
Oshilaja (46'), Hamer (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jade-Jones (56'), Knight (88'), Clarke-Harris (90+6')
Katongo (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-1 Northampton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-3 Peterborough United

 Burton Albion are struggling going forward in recent weeks, while their visitors are certainly not experiencing such difficulties, and with momentum back on their side, we can only envisage another dominant triumph for Peterborough United on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPeterborough United
16.62% (-0.164 -0.16) 21.38% (-0.1 -0.1) 62% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.64% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.99% (0.146 0.15)46.01% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.69% (0.137 0.14)68.32% (-0.128 -0.13)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.08% (-0.12 -0.12)40.92% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (-0.107 -0.11)77.49% (0.116 0.12)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (0.137 0.14)14.29% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.92% (0.256 0.26)42.08% (-0.248 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 16.62%
    Peterborough United 61.99%
    Draw 21.38%
Burton AlbionDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 5.22% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-1 @ 4.54% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.62%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 21.38%
0-1 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 7.18% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.42% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.49% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.12% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.36% (0.023 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 61.99%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Peterborough

Burton Albion
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
Peterborough United
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Peterborough
4-0
Burton Albion
Randall (6'), Mason-Clark (44'), Stockton (61' og.), Poku (66')
Jade-Jones (52')

Helm (9'), Oshilaja (37'), Stockton (54')
> Preview
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Burton Albion
2-5
Peterborough
Powell (28'), Smith (54')
Clarke-Harris (12', 51'), Mason-Clark (19'), Burrows (38'), Ward (64')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Peterborough
1-1
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (47')
Adeboyejo (75')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Burton Albion
2-1
Peterborough
Hemmings (54'), Carter (58')
Smith (6'), Brayford (68'), Carter (90+3')
Burrows (90+4')
Beevers (57')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Peterborough
2-2
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (10'), Ward (48')
Mason (89')
Hemmings (32', 60')
Gilligan (58'), Akins (62'), O'Toole (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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