Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
We said: Cagliari 1-1 Monza
Monza rarely score more than once, but that should be good enough for a point in Cagliari, as only three Serie A sides have conceded fewer goals than the Biancorossi this season. Meanwhile, the hosts can keep momentum building by extending their unbeaten streak in Sardinia, which may even edge them out of the drop zone.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.43% . A win for Monza had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%) . The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result Cagliari Draw Monza 45.43% ( -0.36) 25.56% ( 0.41) 29% ( -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.26% ( -1.34)
49.65% ( -1.73) 50.35% ( 1.74)
27.71% ( -1.55) 72.29% ( 1.56)
77.86% ( -0.89) 22.14% ( 0.89)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.48% ( -1.36) 55.52% ( 1.36)
68.4% ( -0.92) 31.6% ( 0.93)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.99% ( -1.08) 68.01% ( 1.08)
Cagliari 45.43%
Monza 29%
Draw 25.56%
Cagliari Draw Monza 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.43% 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.56% 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 29%
How you voted: Cagliari vs Monza
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rhs 2.0
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