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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Monza

Cagliari
1 - 1
Monza

Dossena (10')
Prati (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maric (61')
Birindelli (48'), Pepin (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, November 11 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Torino
Saturday, November 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-1 Monza

Monza rarely score more than once, but that should be good enough for a point in Cagliari, as only three Serie A sides have conceded fewer goals than the Biancorossi this season. Meanwhile, the hosts can keep momentum building by extending their unbeaten streak in Sardinia, which may even edge them out of the drop zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
CagliariDrawMonza
45.43% (-0.362 -0.36) 25.56% (0.41 0.41) 29% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.26% (-1.335 -1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65% (-1.731 -1.73)50.35% (1.735 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71% (-1.554 -1.55)72.29% (1.558 1.56)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86% (-0.886 -0.89)22.14% (0.89 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.48% (-1.356 -1.36)55.52% (1.36 1.36)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.92400000000001 -0.92)31.6% (0.928 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (-1.078 -1.08)68.01% (1.082 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 45.43%
    Monza 29%
    Draw 25.56%
CagliariDrawMonza
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.45 0.45)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 45.43%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7% (0.478 0.48)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.356 0.36)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Monza

Cagliari
33.9%
Draw
33.9%
Monza
32.2%
59
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910


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