MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 20:51:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 6pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Moreirense

Casa Pia
0 - 1
Moreirense


Mukendi (29'), Roberto (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Franco (33')
Nlavo (61'), Camacho (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 4-3 Casa Pia
Sunday, May 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Vizela
Friday, May 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-2 Moreirense

Despite Casa Pia comfortably winning 4-1 in the reverse fixture earlier this season, Moreirense are the much superior side and with a return to form in recent games, we believe the visitors will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.

Result
Casa PiaDrawMoreirense
33.05% (-0.55099999999999 -0.55) 27.67% (0.122 0.12) 39.28% (0.424 0.42)
Both teams to score 48.46% (-0.488 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.73% (-0.56 -0.56)57.27% (0.557 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.89% (-0.448 -0.45)78.11% (0.44399999999999 0.44)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (-0.658 -0.66)32.3% (0.654 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (-0.752 -0.75)68.8% (0.747 0.75)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)28.41% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)64.16% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 33.05%
    Moreirense 39.27%
    Draw 27.67%
Casa PiaDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.05%
1-1 @ 13.05% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.18% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 11.54% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.27% (0.144 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 39.27%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Moreirense

Casa Pia
50.0%
Draw
7.1%
Moreirense
42.9%
28
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 16
Moreirense
1-4
Casa Pia
Aias (14')
Camacho (40'), Antonisse (90+5')
Soma (18'), Cardoso (26', 56'), Nunes (39')
Cardoso (35'), Segovia (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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