Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.46%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.57%) and 3-1 (6.39%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
52.46% ( 1.06) | 21.26% ( -0.04) | 26.27% ( -1.01) |
Both teams to score 66.05% ( -0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.45% ( -0.67) | 32.55% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.79% ( -0.77) | 54.21% ( 0.78) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.26% ( 0.09) | 12.74% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.01% ( 0.18) | 38.99% ( -0.18) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.69% ( -1.02) | 24.3% ( 1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.32% ( -1.46) | 58.68% ( 1.46) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 52.46% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.26% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.68% Total : 26.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |