Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.46%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.57%) and 3-1 (6.39%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.