Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.