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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
New York City

Chicago Fire
0 - 0
NY City


Omsberg (25'), Acosta (45'), Koutsias (80'), Pineda (84')
FT

Haak (21'), Sands (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-0 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-1 NY City
Sunday, July 7 at 2.55am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-1 New York City FC

New York City have not been nearly as creative going forward away from home this season, and we expect a cagey affair with two teams that may have difficulty finding enough attacking solutions to win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
44.35% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 25.28%30.37% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.52% (0.012 0.01)48.48% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39% (0.010000000000002 0.01)70.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.85% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.92% (0.011000000000003 0.01)55.08% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.28% (0.0010000000000048 0)65.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 44.35%
    New York City FC 30.38%
    Draw 25.28%
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.35%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 30.38%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs NY City

Chicago Fire
44.1%
Draw
26.5%
New York City FC
29.4%
34
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Mar 5, 2023 1.30am
Aug 21, 2022 11pm
May 22, 2022 10pm
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Heber (23' pen.)
Acevedo (46'), Martins (89'), Parks (90+4')

Sekulic (63')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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