MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 16:49:13| >> :60:87:87:
Chile national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 12, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
Paraguay national football team

Chile
3 - 0
Paraguay

Davila (17', 37'), Vargas (53')
Isla (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Peralta (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Chile and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: France 3-2 Chile
Tuesday, March 26 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Paraguay

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Peru 0-0 Paraguay
Saturday, June 8 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

We said: Chile 0-0 Paraguay

 With the Copa America being so close it is likely that both teams will be cautious in this match due to the potential risks that any injuries could pose. That, coupled with the fact that both have been struggling to find the back of the net lately could see them play out a goalless draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 8.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.21%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.56%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.

Result
ChileDrawParaguay
70.8% (0.123 0.12) 20.85% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 8.35% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 29.86% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.99% (0.040999999999997 0.04)61.01% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.99% (0.029 0.03)81% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (0.055000000000007 0.06)16.45% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86% (0.101 0.1)46.14% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.74% (-0.12 -0.12)64.25% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.32% (-0.056 -0.06)92.67% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Chile 70.78%
    Paraguay 8.35%
    Draw 20.84%
ChileDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 19.07%
2-0 @ 17.21% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 10.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.67% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.58%
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.69% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 70.78%
0-0 @ 10.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 1.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.84%
0-1 @ 4.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 1.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 8.35%

How you voted: Chile vs Paraguay

Chile
63.8%
Draw
25.5%
Paraguay
10.6%
47
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2023 12.30am
Group Stage
Chile
0-0
Paraguay
Maripan (22'), Medel (78')
Mendez (88')
Gomez (38'), Caballero (71'), Rojas (78')
Rojas (44')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2023 1.30am
Friendlies 1
Chile
3-2
Paraguay
> Preview
Nov 11, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
0-1
Chile
Silva (56' og.)
> Preview
Oct 11, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Chile
2-0
Paraguay
Brereton Diaz (69'), Isla (72')
Aranguiz (23'), Brereton Diaz (42'), Jimenez (54')
Aranguiz (74')

Morel (15'), Perez (23'), Alderete (83')
Alderete (89')
> Preview
Jun 25, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Chile
0-2
Paraguay

Brereton (45+1'), Medel (56'), Bravo (58')
Samudio (33'), Almiron (58' pen.)
Martinez (78')
> Preview
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