Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.